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May 11, 2014

"Mockery of Mock Drafts"

Unsurprising: they aren't very accurate.

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Jack PQ

Point taken but I think it's a little harsh. Mock drafts project player quality, but teams often pick based on need as much as quality.

A better assessment would ask what percentage of players were taken within a window say of plus or minus 5 picks (to allow for randomness of team needs). I think the result would be fairly good up to round 4 where differences between player quality becomes small and teams pick much more based on need and scouting (gut instinct)

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