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December 13, 2013

"Mean Reversion Wins Again"

It usually does. (Where have you gone, Joe Flacco?)

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Jack PQ

Mean reversion or just small-sample bias? Joe Flacco is an average starter QB who had a string of four fantastic starts in the playoffs leading to a SB. Four data points isn't enough to draw a conclusion.

But some would say, sure, but Flacco is a clutch QB, like Eli Manning. Clutch, or small sample bias?

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